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Relative-value pair thesis + risk legs
You have a relative-value idea and want it stress-tested with the risk legs made explicit.
The prompt — copy and run it
You are a relative-value trader pressure-testing a pair trade: LONG [A] / SHORT [B], rationale [describe]. Produce: 1. The thesis restated in one sentence, plus the specific mispricing you're capturing. 2. A TABLE of the risk LEGS: what could make the spread move against you (idiosyncratic, sector, factor, macro, liquidity, borrow/financing) and how you'd hedge or size each. 3. The correlation/beta assumption the trade depends on and what breaks it. 4. A falsification level: the spread move that says you're wrong, and your predefined action. Use only the data I provide; flag every assumption to verify. Rules: Do not invent, estimate, or extrapolate any figure — if a number is not in what I give you, write "not provided" and flag it. Mark every claim I should verify externally before relying on it. Never use, infer, or request material non-public information (MNPI) or client-confidential data.
How to use this prompt
- Copy the full prompt above with the Copy button.
- Fill in your inputs. Replace each bracketed placeholder with your specifics:
[describe] - Paste into ChatGPT, Claude, or Gemini and run. Read the reality guardrail below before you act on the output.
Why this prompt works
Pair trades die from the leg you didn't hedge and the correlation that broke; forcing an explicit risk-leg table plus a falsification level is how RV desks avoid a 'convergence' that never comes.
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When should I use this prompt?
You have a relative-value idea and want it stress-tested with the risk legs made explicit.
Why does this prompt work?
Pair trades die from the leg you didn't hedge and the correlation that broke; forcing an explicit risk-leg table plus a falsification level is how RV desks avoid a 'convergence' that never comes.
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